[NL20-NL50] SH NL25 JQs 100% no escape?

    • ragney
      Joined: 02.08.2010 Posts: 2,417
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($28.28)
      BB ($34.06)
      UTG ($52.42)
      UTG+1 ($29.03)
      Hero ($25.29)
      BTN ($25)

      Dealt to Hero J:club: Q:club:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1, fold, SB calls $0.90, fold, UTG+1 calls $0.75

      FLOP ($3.25) 4:club: A:club: T:spade:

      SB bets $2, UTG+1 calls $2, Hero raises to $8, SB folds, UTG+1 calls $6

      TURN ($21.25) 4:club: A:club: T:spade: 6:heart:

      UTG+1 checks, Hero checks

      RIVER ($21.25) 4:club: A:club: T:spade: 6:heart: 8:club:

      UTG+1 bets $10.50, Hero raises to $16.29 (AI), UTG+1 calls $5.79

      Hero shows J:club: Q:club:
      (Pre 41%, Flop 30.3%, Turn 20.5%)

      UTG+1 shows K:club: 9:club:
      (Pre 59%, Flop 69.7%, Turn 79.5%)

      UTG+1 wins $51.83

      Villian 32/12/2.3 over 150 hands...

      No way avoiding it right? I was thinking to overshove it on the flop, bad idea also?

      Maybe shove turn? Fold river? Do you think villian will bet with a T :club: 2-9 :club: ?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      yeah, I´d also shove river, since you have second nuts and he can easily lead out smt like A6/AT, set
      Not sure if you have fold equity on the turn, but likely I´d just shove turn, since he can call with worse flushdraws or maybe find folding Ax hand