[NL20-NL50] AQs monsterdraw on turn

    • vmarqui
      vmarqui
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.01.2010 Posts: 4,816
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      BB:
      $21.01
      UTG2:
      $26.12
      MP1:
      $25.00
      MP2:
      $37.06
      MP3:
      $12.73
      CO:
      $25.00
      BU (Hero):
      $25.92
      SB:
      $20.10


      Preflop: Hero is BU with Q, A.
      5 folds, Hero raises to $1.00, SB folds, BB calls $0.75.

      Flop: ($2.1) J, 8, 6 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.25, BB calls $1.25.

      Turn: ($4.6) T (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $2.75, BB raises to $7.75, Hero ???



      (before anything, I meant to raise to $0.75, I misclicked)

      What is it better? if I call, I'm putting $5 in a $20 pot, which means I need 25% equity, and I have around 30%, if he has two pair or better.
      Besides, I have implied pot odds. I'm getting villain all in almost every time, as he's committed.

      On the other hand, as he's committed, fold equity is pretty low, so pushing doesn't sound so nice

      What do you guys think?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I generally think shove is better, since sometimes you see players c/r there that turn with just draws or pair+draws and your Q and A outs might also be good.
      If you give him some semibluff hands, like flusdraw+straightdraw or pair+fd+sd you have quite good equity against these hands

      board: Jd8s6sTd
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AdQd 37.40% 181 0
      As7s, Ts9s, JT 62.60% 303 0

      And sometimes you also take pot down on the turn, since he was bluffing or decided to turn his 77 into bluff.