[NL20-NL50] [NL50 FR Rush] 44 set v small river bet.

    • whipflip15
      whipflip15
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.11.2006 Posts: 284
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      BB:
      $25.35
      UTG1:
      $34.15
      UTG2:
      $58.85
      MP1:
      $50.00
      MP2:
      $44.30
      MP3:
      $20.75
      CO:
      $50.00
      BU:
      $76.45
      SB (Hero):
      $64.10


      Preflop: Hero is SB with 4, 4.
      4 folds, MP3 calls $0.50, CO folds, BU calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.25, BB checks.

      Flop: ($2) 5, 4, J (4 players)
      Hero bets $2.00, BB folds, MP3 calls $2.00, BU folds.

      Turn: ($6) 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.00, MP3 calls $4.00.

      River: ($14) K (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP3 bets $3.00, Hero calls $3.00.

      Final Pot: $20.

      No stats on villain. Can I find a call getting over 5.5 to 1?
  • 3 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      you should be close to 90% at least be behind but also to find out what hands he is calling flop and turn+ he may sometimes try some cheap bluff, I think call is fine.
    • whipflip15
      whipflip15
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.11.2006 Posts: 284
      Due to limp the only value hands I see him calling flop and turn with are QJo or JTo with Q or J or T of clubs. I'm assuming he is raising mid-high PP which would have a club and most AcJo PF. I also think he would shove flush on turn. Do you think he could VB river with KJo?
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by whipflip15
      Due to limp the only value hands I see him calling flop and turn with are QJo or JTo with Q or J or T of clubs. I'm assuming he is raising mid-high PP which would have a club and most AcJo PF. I also think he would shove flush on turn. Do you think he could VB river with KJo?
      Most of the times no, since he is afraid flush and you're c/c river with lower flushes, so he can't expect to be ahead that often to valuebet top two pair