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[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR RUSH TPGK and Flush draw in 3bet pot

    • conall88
      Joined: 02.01.2009 Posts: 1,715
      should I be 3betting here?
      I know calling and evaluating turn has its merits, but what do you expect villain to have when taking this line?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Full Tilt
      SB ($5.73)
      Hero ($5.45)
      UTG ($5.22)
      UTG+1 ($5.60)
      UTG+2 ($9.69)
      MP1 ($2.16)
      MP2 ($5.40)
      CO ($5.47)
      BTN ($13.51)

      Dealt to Hero J:spade: T:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to $0.10, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.05

      FLOP ($0.22) T:heart: 6:spade: 9:spade:

      Hero bets $0.14, CO raises to $0.45, Hero raises to $1.50, CO raises to $5.37 (AI), Hero calls $3.85 (AI)

      TURN ($10.92) T:heart: 6:spade: 9:spade: A:diamond:

      RIVER ($10.92) T:heart: 6:spade: 9:spade: A:diamond: K:diamond:

      Hero shows J:spade: T:spade:
      (Pre 52%, Flop 32.8%, Turn 18.2%)

      CO shows 6:diamond: 6:club:
      (Pre 48%, Flop 67.2%, Turn 81.8%)

      CO wins $10.20
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello conall88,

      Preflop: Nah, it ain't like a must to 3bet here, although would be possible if we are rather against that kind of opponent who is capable of folding to 3bets easily and as well even if we get called we have a pretty decent hand to continue our play postflop.

      As played
      Postflop: The problem is that when we get raised there, we will be very often against somewhat strong hand, might even be a 2pair type of hand or maybe even stronger. Therefore I might even prefer just Calling and reevaluating on turn unless we could think that he is capable of raising that kind of way as well with TP type of hands. So mainly we will anyways get a coinflip there at the best.

      And for perfect all-in we need there even like 48% equity, and do we get it? I don't think so. For example even against wider range:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 54,814% 54,565% 0,498% 44,937% 99+, 66, ATs, T9s, ATo, T9o
      Player 2: 45,186% 44,937% 0,498% 54,565% JsTs

      We ain't getting it.

      Best regards.