This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL20-NL50] [SH/NL25] QQ vs river shove

    • ragney
      Joined: 02.08.2010 Posts: 2,417
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($38.75)
      BB ($18.87)
      Hero ($44.25)
      UTG+1 ($12.50)
      CO ($37.88)
      BTN ($15.12)

      Dealt to Hero Q:spade: Q:club:

      Hero raises to $0.90, fold, fold, BTN calls $0.90, fold, fold

      FLOP ($2.15) 6:club: 6:spade: A:spade:

      Hero bets $1.55, BTN calls $1.55

      TURN ($5.25) 6:club: 6:spade: A:spade: 7:diamond:

      Hero bets $3.50, BTN calls $3.50

      RIVER ($12.25) 6:club: 6:spade: A:spade: 7:diamond: 8:spade:

      Hero checks, BTN bets $9.17 (AI), Hero folds

      BTN wins $11.65

      Villian over 1600 hands
      Fold cbet flop 44% / fold cbet turn 31%
      Agg% flop turn river 18/23/31

      I think we can call the river? We can expect us being ahead 50% of the time?
  • 2 replies
    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Actually you need ~ 30% eq to call here profitably and I think it's a clear fold as I dont see you ahead like ever at this point.

      The point in barreling F+T is to get value from draws and worse made hands and on the river every draw hits and villain can have any flush, straight even a fh or 6x and Ax. Dont expect such a passive guy to ever push TT/JJ at this point.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      yeah, you´re mostly beat on the river so c/f is fine, but I´m not sure if I like your turn bet.
      I would personally try to keep pot small and go to showdown and let him bluff with his missed draws on blank turn and river cards