[NL2-NL10] NL10 Q4s in freeplay

    • Oly0909
      Oly0909
      Silver
      Joined: 08.06.2008 Posts: 843
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      SB:
      $10
      Hero:
      $10,3
      CO:
      $14,76

      0,05/0,1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant.Base 0.96 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BB with Q:diamond: , 4:diamond:
      4 folds, CO calls $0,10, BU folds, SB calls $0,05, Hero checks.

      Flop: ($0,30) K:diamond: , J:heart: , T:diamond: (3 players)
      SB bets $0,2, Hero raises to $0,65, CO raises to $14,66 (All-In), SB folds, Hero calls $9,55 (All-In), CO gets uncalled bet back (All-In).

      Turn: ($20,90) J:spade:
      River: ($20,90) Q:club: (2 players)


      Final Pot: $20,90

      Can I call here with OESD and 2nd nut FD?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Oly0909,

      While it's a freeplay pot, I don't really like that much the Call since we need like 46% equity there, although I don't think that we are getting it that often. At the best I guess we getting like break-even Call. For example he has like KQ type of hand then we get a equity of:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 46,016% 36,263% 19,506% 44,231% Qd4d
      Player 2: 53,984% 44,231% 19,506% 36,263% KQs, KQo

      Therefore even here it's somewhat break-even. If we put him on some kind stronger range:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 43,743% 40,118% 7,250% 52,633% Qd4d
      Player 2: 56,257% 52,633% 7,250% 40,118% JJ-TT, AQs, KJs-KTs, Q9s, AQo, KJo-KTo, Q9o

      We likely don't get the equity.

      Best regards.