[NL20-NL50] 98s, NL100, Rush - bluffing 3 streets (EV-)?

    • slimy3
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 2,444
      Full Tilt Poker $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 1248602
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      MP1: $215.15
      Hero (MP2): $100.00
      CO: $49.35
      BTN: $118.90
      SB: $44.20
      BB: $37.00
      UTG: $100.00
      UTG+1: $172.05
      UTG+2: $79.00

      Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is MP2 with 8 :heart: 9 :heart:
      UTG raises to $3.50, 3 folds, Hero calls $3.50, 4 folds

      Flop: ($8.50) T :spade: J :heart: 5 :club: (2 players)
      UTG requests TIME, UTG bets $5, Hero requests TIME, Hero raises to $15, UTG requests TIME, UTG calls $10

      Turn: ($38.50) 2 :heart: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero requests TIME, Hero bets $19, UTG requests TIME, UTG calls $19

      River: ($76.50) 5 :spade: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $62.50 all in

      UTG: 11/11

      His opening range is sth like: 77+, AQ+ an maybe AJs. I decided to raise here. When I picked up EQ on the turn I made another bet with sizing thaht give me a PSB on the river.

      I think on the river I forgot about his preflop range. He has TT+ and is not folding, so my bet is EV-. Am I right?
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Let me start with preflop saying that I think your call is on the lighter side considering UTG opens and that the guys behind you are all on the shorter side (so thus implied odd hands go down in value).

      As played you are trying to get a strong range to fold and that usually doesn't end up well, especially at these limits where people don't like folding.

      As a rule of thumb I normally don't try to get people to fold a "strong" hand unless I have specific reads/notes/dynamic.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think I would also very often call, since now his overpair also beats your JT and even if he has there AJ I think he would call you down, since you don´t shove river for value JTs and he can always put you on missed draw