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[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH JJ 3b pot OOP

    • gonepoker
      gonepoker
      Platinum
      Joined: 15.05.2009 Posts: 439
      No-Limit Hold'em, $0.20 BB (5 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      UTG ($21.36)
      MP ($20)
      Button ($18.47)
      Hero (SB) ($20.10)
      BB ($26.57)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with J, J
      UTG bets $0.80, 2 folds, Hero raises $2.90, BB calls $2.80, UTG calls $2.20

      Flop: ($9) 3, 3, 5 (3 players)
      Hero bets $5, BB raises $23.37, 1 fold, Hero calls $12

      Turn: ($43) 7 (2 players)

      River: ($43) 8 (2 players)

      Total pot: $43

      UTG stats VPIP 56, PFR 25, F to 3b 0, 64 hands. He probably isn't folding anything so I 3b but BB cold calls:
      VPIP 23, PFR 15, F to 3b 43, 4b 14%, squeeze 5% 646 hands.
      On BB I have note that he didn't 3b AKo vs CO open raise but his 3b on BU is 7%.
      Overall ofter his push I thought that I'm in bad shape but probably nothing I can do better?
      Thanks!
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Do you expect he can slowplay QQ-AA preflop?

      If so the call becomes more questionable since even AKss is a slight favorite here.

      Given the fish is still in the pot if he had 33 or 55 I think he would just call.

      So his range to me looks like overpairs so it's just a matter of making an assumption of his slowplay rate.

      Either way it's close, and it would be hard for me to fold there.
    • gonepoker
      gonepoker
      Platinum
      Joined: 15.05.2009 Posts: 439
      Originally posted by BogdanPS
      Do you expect he can slowplay QQ-AA preflop?

      If so the call becomes more questionable since even AKss is a slight favorite here.

      Given the fish is still in the pot if he had 33 or 55 I think he would just call.

      So his range to me looks like overpairs so it's just a matter of making an assumption of his slowplay rate.

      Either way it's close, and it would be hard for me to fold there.
      Well now I am sure he can slowplay AA in this spot :D But without this read it's really hard to fold because he looks like a guy who likes to call pre flop..
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      seems quite standard b/c line to me, since he would likely play 88/TT and any flushdraw the same way even if he slowplays pf QQ-AA