[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH AJ fold TPTK on the flop

    • Alleen86
      Alleen86
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.05.2010 Posts: 4,795
      Hello!

      I opened from UTG with AJ and floped TPTK. The plan was betting for value and protection. Very loose guy folded, but a nit guy raised. Since he 3-bets 1,4%, I decided for fold because he will very often have a set there, IMO. I think that call wouldn't be a mistake, but his bet size and 3-bet percentage are facts that I am woried about.

      His stats: 13/10/75/1,4/4,0/487 (VPIP/PFR/FtoCB/3b/AF/Hands)


      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      MP3:
      $33.17
      CO:
      $20.91
      BU:
      $10.25
      SB:
      $12.53
      BB:
      $10.00
      MP2 (Hero):
      $10.36


      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A, J.
      Hero raises to $0.40, MP3 folds, CO calls $0.40, BU folds, SB calls $0.35, BB folds.

      Flop: ($1.3) 2, 3, J (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.93, CO folds, SB raises to $3.00, Hero folds, SB gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $2.23.
  • 3 replies
    • Skaladpotatis
      Skaladpotatis
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.03.2011 Posts: 18
      Originally posted by Alleen86
      Since he 3-bets 1,4%, I decided for fold because he will very often have a set there, IMO. I think that call wouldn't be a mistake, but his bet size and 3-bet percentage are facts that I am woried about. .
      I like the way you played the hand and I agree It's almost always a set there. The 3-bet percentage is how offen the guy 3-bets pre-flop :)
    • Alleen86
      Alleen86
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.05.2010 Posts: 4,795
      The 3-bet percentage is how offen the guy 3-bets pre-flop


      Yes, but I supose it can be considered also due to postflop raise, 3-bet etc.. I am not sure about that.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Alleen86,

      More often being in multiway pot I guess this line is likely the safest unless you have some other reads on the opponent. Not much you can, likely a good fold.

      Best regards.