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[NL2-NL10] AQs

  • 2 replies
    • yaxkukmian
      yaxkukmian
      Bronze
      Joined: 24.12.2007 Posts: 2,020
      Looks like tight player.

      I would like to hear math side in this case. :) We have 12 outs (9FD + three 4s) + possible 6 (A,Q; this may not be our outs since he might hit his set)

      I would call on flop and see how the action goes on turn. When we call flop the pot is $0,90 and if we miss and he fires again 2/3 we have to fold I guess.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello banistb,

      On those limits while they might be even capable of raising with some smaller overpairs/maybe even draws as well there it is possible even to go broke against him right on flop with our such a strong draw.

      We need like 45% equity to make the shove profitable.

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 53,058% 52,107% 1,902% 45,991% AcQc
      Player 2: 46,942% 45,991% 1,902% 52,107% 22+, JcTc, 8c7c

      While we get pretty good equity. :) Although I am not saying that Calling is either wrong, since we are getting pretty good implied odds there.

      Best regards.