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[NL20-NL50] [SH]NL50 KJo IP float

    • Ico0o
      Ico0o
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.07.2010 Posts: 4,149
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($175)
      BB ($50)
      UTG ($139)
      CO ($49.75)
      Hero ($50)

      Dealt to Hero J:spade: K:heart:

      fold, CO raises to $2, Hero calls $2, fold, fold

      FLOP ($4.75) T:diamond: 2:club: 9:heart:

      CO bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50

      TURN ($11.75) T:diamond: 2:club: 9:heart: 3:diamond:

      CO checks, Hero bets $6, CO calls $6

      RIVER ($23.75) T:diamond: 2:club: 9:heart: 3:diamond: A:heart:

      CO checks, Hero bets $14, CO calls $14


      Villain is 22/19 (21% CO steal), Flop Cbet 78%, Turn - 42%, WTSD - 25%, W$SD - 46%.

      I decided to float him, have some equity with my gutshot + overcards.
      I havent any notes for him and i don't know how is he 2nd barelling draws, what he can c/c on this turn.

      Any oesd, overcards + any weak draw, TP, 2nd pair...
      I think that i have a lot of aces in my range of floating and i easilly can represent this ace. I think most of his range will fold to any river bet, am i right ?
  • 2 replies
    • Gabinr1
      Gabinr1
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.04.2009 Posts: 7,755
      I would bet the turn bigger.

      On the river, I would just check and see villains hand. If he has an OESD we take it down. Ace high missed flushdraws will probably not fold now. And medium pairs might find a call to a medium bet.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      If he went pot control I think he would call you down, since you´re not really shouldn´ bet your Tx hands unless it is AT. You can maybe consider overbetting but that would also look suspicious. Without history I´d likely just take my free showdown although barreling river and hoping he would fold his 88 or 9x would be tempting