[NL2-NL10] Shnl10 44

    • ragney
      ragney
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.08.2010 Posts: 2,417
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($9)
      BB ($4.87)
      UTG ($10.48)
      UTG+1 ($12.74)
      CO ($10.15)
      Hero ($13.09)

      Dealt to Hero 4:spade: 4:club:

      UTG raises to $0.40, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.40, fold, BB calls $0.30

      FLOP ($1.25) 8:diamond: 3:club: 4:heart:

      BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $0.85, BB calls $0.85, UTG calls $0.85

      TURN ($3.80) 8:diamond: 3:club: 4:heart: A:club:

      BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $2.60, BB folds, UTG calls $2.60

      RIVER ($9) 8:diamond: 3:club: 4:heart: A:club: 2:club:

      UTG checks, Hero bets $9.24 (AI), UTG calls $6.63 (AI)

      UTG shows T:heart: A:heart:
      (Pre 51%, Flop 4.3%, Turn 0.0%)

      Hero shows 4:spade: 4:club:
      (Pre 49%, Flop 95.7%, Turn 100.0%)

      Hero wins $21.17


      Just ship it in right? 5x should fold vs flop cbet, except A5 maybe. We're up against a two pair or flush most of the time right? Villian unknown.
  • 4 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello ragney,

      Usually I don't expect people to raise such hands which have the 5x in their hands, therefore it should be pretty easy ship for value on river.

      Best regards.
    • Heffron89
      Heffron89
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.01.2009 Posts: 813
      Originally posted by veriz
      Hello ragney,

      Usually I don't expect people to raise such hands which have the 5x in their hands, therefore it should be pretty easy ship for value on river.

      Best regards.
      value against what if i may ask? the board is 4 to a straight + a flush out.

      I doubt even 2 pair will call this river u just got lucky here.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Heffron89
      Originally posted by veriz
      Hello ragney,

      Usually I don't expect people to raise such hands which have the 5x in their hands, therefore it should be pretty easy ship for value on river.

      Best regards.
      value against what if i may ask? the board is 4 to a straight + a flush out.

      I doubt even 2 pair will call this river u just got lucky here.
      Huh? 5x is not possible and backdoor flush is not that possible either while some 2pair type of hands could easily be possible like A8 or even sometimes some A high which is just played stupidly. I am betting for value there!

      He would like never Check on river if he had the flush or either the straight.

      Plus maybe even find a Call with some PP and I don't even mind if he folds. But definitely he would shove himself with better hands and Check with worse.
    • ragney
      ragney
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.08.2010 Posts: 2,417
      Originally posted by Heffron89
      Originally posted by veriz
      Hello ragney,

      Usually I don't expect people to raise such hands which have the 5x in their hands, therefore it should be pretty easy ship for value on river.

      Best regards.
      value against what if i may ask? the board is 4 to a straight + a flush out.

      I doubt even 2 pair will call this river u just got lucky here.
      I think we beat about 80% or more of his whole range judging by an UTG raise. Betting river is +EV for sure. Thats what poker is all about I guess :f_biggrin: