[NL2-NL10] Conti-bet

    • Watto77
      Watto77
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.12.2007 Posts: 206
      As a bronze level SSS player, should I conti-bet in this situation?

      I was of the belief that as of the flop I have a trash hand and therefore should c/f

      Poker Stars
      No Limit Holdem Ring game
      Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
      9 players
      Converter

      Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is BB with A Q
      UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, 3 folds, Button calls, SB folds, SB folds, Hero raises to $1.5, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls, Button folds.

      Flop: 3 7 8 ($3.6, 2 players)
      Hero checks, MP1 bets $0.5, Hero folds.
      Uncalled bets: $0.5 returned to MP1.

      Results:
      Final pot: $3.6
  • 3 replies
    • mikeymoo
      mikeymoo
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2007 Posts: 80
      Not if you're the preflop raiser, I'm quite sure.

      If you're heads up on the flop, you always bet/fold with trash.

      If you're in a multi-way pot, check/fold is correct.
    • drachdudek
      drachdudek
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.11.2007 Posts: 656
      If your stack is less or equal to the pot i would in your situation go all-in (you are heads-up), your equity is pretty high in other situation more players in the flop i would make a c-bet 2/3 of the pot and if re-raised i would fold.
    • xylere
      xylere
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.05.2007 Posts: 2,939
      1) please post your stack size

      2) as a bronze (or any) SS player you should push (assuming your initial stack was 20BB=5$), because the strategy says:

      If your stack is smaller than or even pot size, you go all-in instantly.

      http://www.pokerstrategy.com/strategy/no-limit/215/2/#h2_2

      The logic behind:

      1) you always MUST cbet first in ! no matter what you have !
      The abstract explanation of cbet EV you can find here, just to have an idea:
      Theoretical question on SSS.

      2) since your stack even pot size, you are getting 2:1 pot odds to call, meaning that you need to win in 33% of the time.

      We assume that opponent folds in 60% of the time and calls in the remaining 40% with a range 55-99, 33, AQs-AJs, A8s-A7s, T9s, AQo-AJo, A8o-A7o, T9o (we have 35% equity against it + FOLD EQUITY)

      EV = 0.6*3,6$ + 0.4*(0.35*(3.6$ (pot) + 3.5$ (called bet)) - 0.65*(3.5)) = 2.1 + 0.4*(2.5 - 2.2)= +2.22$

      clearly + EV