[NL2-NL10] Mss TPTK

    • JHTAN
      JHTAN
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.07.2010 Posts: 1,331
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($11.98)
      BB ($4.48)
      UTG ($7.96)
      UTG+1 ($8.08)
      UTG+2 ($10)
      MP1 ($10)
      MP2 ($5.18)
      CO ($10.59)
      Hero ($4.13)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: K:diamond:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.40, fold, BB calls $0.30, UTG+1 calls $0.30

      FLOP ($1.25) Q:heart: K:heart: 7:club:

      BB checks, UTG+1 bets $0.10, Hero raises to $0.90, BB raises to $4.08 (AI), UTG+1 folds, Hero?

      Villain stats,


      Uploaded with ImageShack.us

      Hi,
      Should fold the TPTK?
      Do you think villain will play draw aggressively on this FLop?

      Thanks :)
  • 3 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hey,

      If the screenshot is BB as you give me (plays 5/2) then you can pretty easily tell me what his range is and how to act accordingly

      Can you tell me his c/raise range so we can Equilate it and make a conclusion together? :)

      Best regards,
      Gerv
    • JHTAN
      JHTAN
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.07.2010 Posts: 1,331
      Hey Gerv,

      I think the sample size is too small but I will give his c/r range like AK,KQ,77 based on his preflop action. However, he may slow play JJ+ preflop.
      Besides, he may c/r with draw but it is very unlikely based on his stats.


      Board: Q:heart: K:heart: 7:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      BU     25.89%   6.24%  19.65% { AdKd }
      SB     74.11%  54.46%  19.65% { 77, AKs, KQs, AKo, KQo }
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      I dont think people slowplay JJ+ a lot of times, maybe like 5% of the time

      Same goes for AK I think so what that means that I think he is indeed only c/R JT, 77 and KQ

      therefore your equity is not that good so I would bet/fold against this particular player

      Best regards,
      Gerv