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[NL2-NL10] NL10 rush AK

    • purplefizz
      Joined: 12.03.2008 Posts: 4,508
      villain is 17/12/af 1/78 hands

      i 3bet preflop and cbet the flop.
      on turn, flush completes and he jams pot. i do have blockers plus the nut flush draw but he represents made flush pretty hard unless its some 2pair or straight. its a really ugly board anyway. is this a fold?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10)
      BB ($12.32)
      UTG ($12.17)
      UTG+1 ($10)
      Hero ($21.19)
      BTN ($10.62)

      Dealt to Hero K:diamond: A:heart:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.20, Hero raises to $0.80, fold, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls $0.60

      FLOP ($1.75) J:diamond: Q:diamond: 4:club:

      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $1.10, UTG+1 calls $1.10

      TURN ($3.95) J:diamond: Q:diamond: 4:club: A:diamond:

      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $2.40, UTG+1 raises to $8.10 (AI), Hero ?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello purplefizz,

      The problem actually lies on turn. I might even prefer to Check behind there, since if you ask yourself, does he have a lot worse hands in his range? And as well if we face something like Check raise then we will be often be behind and maybe even have to fold since he rather is passive guy and who rather ships with made hands. If you Check behind you will still get value on river as well and if you even hit your flush then might get even more.

      As played, about the Call it's damn close since we need like 29% for break-even and we only getting like:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 71,825% 70,922% 1,805% 27,273% QQ-JJ, 44, AQs-AJs, KTs, Td9d, AQo-AJo, KTo
      Player 2: 28,175% 27,273% 1,805% 70,922% AhKd

      And therefore I might even prefer to fold the hand.

      Best regards.