[NL20-NL50] [NL25] I'm on a boat

    • LemOn36
      LemOn36
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 07.02.2009 Posts: 1,521
      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1269244
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $10.41 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: Infinity, Hands: 22
      BTN: $25.91 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 15, 3B: 0, AF: 0.7, Hands: 117
      SB: $25.10 - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: NaN, Hands: 8
      BB: $25.00 - VPIP: 37, PFR: 26, 3B: 17, AF: 1.0, Hands: 19
      Hero (UTG): $26.48 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 3.5, Hands: 190100

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is UTG with 9 :spade: A :spade:
      Hero raises to $0.75, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) 6 :heart: J :spade: 9 :club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $1.00, Hero calls $1

      Turn: ($3.85) A :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $2.25, Hero calls $2.25

      River: ($8.35) 9 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $5.25Hero:????


      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 38.721% 36.89% 01.83% 17056713 844803.00 { As9s }
      Hand 1: 61.279% 59.45% 01.83% 27485889 844803.00 { JJ, 66, AJs, J9s, AJo }

      I got 22 left, your play?
  • 3 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      he doesn´t have only JJ, 66, AJs, J9s, AJo if he is betting 3 streets for value
      He would most likely 3-bet JJ pf and would valuebet river any Ax hand, since your hand looks a lot weaker. + he might always bluff smt like QT, which he would ofcourse fold to c/r
      Consider you´re ahead close to 100% I would c/r to 14$ and call shove.
    • LemOn36
      LemOn36
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 07.02.2009 Posts: 1,521
      Originally posted by Kaitz20
      he doesn´t have only JJ, 66, AJs, J9s, AJo if he is betting 3 streets for value
      He would most likely 3-bet JJ pf and would valuebet river any Ax hand, since your hand looks a lot weaker. + he might always bluff smt like QT, which he would ofcourse fold to c/r
      Consider you´re ahead close to 100% I would c/r to 14$ and call shove.
      I meant that stove as his calling range, not betting range, I am ahead of that one by miles for sure ;o
      What range do you think calls our raise?

      I shoved and got shown 66 so I am not any smarter, if we knew he was competent do you think we get called by 1 pair hands ever? I think there are like 0 bluffs in my range and tripps should be the total bottom of my value range.

      Does shoving 22 get a lot less calls than 14 btw?

      Also note his 0% 3bet over the sample, I think although JJ can be discounted I'd put most combos in his range given positions.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by LemOn36
      Originally posted by Kaitz20
      he doesn´t have only JJ, 66, AJs, J9s, AJo if he is betting 3 streets for value
      He would most likely 3-bet JJ pf and would valuebet river any Ax hand, since your hand looks a lot weaker. + he might always bluff smt like QT, which he would ofcourse fold to c/r
      Consider you´re ahead close to 100% I would c/r to 14$ and call shove.
      I meant that stove as his calling range, not betting range, I am ahead of that one by miles for sure ;o
      What range do you think calls our raise?

      I shoved and got shown 66 so I am not any smarter, if we knew he was competent do you think we get called by 1 pair hands ever? I think there are like 0 bluffs in my range and tripps should be the total bottom of my value range.

      Does shoving 22 get a lot less calls than 14 btw?

      Also note his 0% 3bet over the sample, I think although JJ can be discounted I'd put most combos in his range given positions.
      you played your hand, like you had TT, so if he is betting river for value smt like Ax he might also b/c, since you really doesn´t rep anything- players would not usually c/c turn with two pair

      What range do you think calls our raise?
      - likely AJ, 66, 9x (if he should ever bet that on the turn) and sometimes also Ax

      Does shoving 22 get a lot less calls than 14 btw?
      - problem is that you would likely not shove river with your bluffs, but rather make cheaper bluff, so I would prefer making the raise size that seems bluffy to him. So yeah I think 14$ get a lot more calls even with one pair hands rather than shove