[NL2-NL10] Fold over pair [MSS]

    • JHTAN
      Joined: 10.07.2010 Posts: 1,343
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10)
      Hero ($4.55)
      UTG ($11.47)
      UTG+1 ($5)
      UTG+2 ($8.65)
      MP1 ($5.71)
      MP2 ($5.59)
      CO ($16.16)
      BTN ($7.02)

      Dealt to Hero A:heart: A:diamond:

      fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $0.20, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $0.15, Hero raises to $0.80, UTG+2 calls $0.60, SB calls $0.60

      FLOP ($2.40) 6:heart: 3:diamond: 5:heart:

      Villain stats,
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.58, UTG+2 folds, SB raises to $9.20 (AI), Hero?

      Uploaded with ImageShack.us


      I fold overpair on this Flop because I think villain c/r range is so strong like a set. I think the minimum equity needed to call is something like 23%. Since Hero equity is only 14% against a set. So, I think it is a fold. Do you think it is a good fold? I

      Board: 6:heart: 3:diamond: 5:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      BU     14.00%  12.48%   1.52% { AdAh }
      BB     86.00%  84.49%   1.52% { 66-55, 33 }

  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678

      First of all 3bet bigger preflop against minraises, you want to get value

      Furthermore I think when someone minraises and c/R this board, his range is at least wider than only sets. I think this player can also c/R with 44 & 77 which then means you have the necessary equity to bet/call

      Furthermore if he c/raises with KQ of hearts for example, you have 65 % equity versus that holding and I think he is perfectly capable of that

      Best regards,