[NL2-NL10] KQ nl10 super passiv

    • deivid2
      deivid2
      Global
      Joined: 23.05.2009 Posts: 6,366
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($14.02)
      BB ($3.16)
      UTG ($9.50)
      CO ($10.47)
      BTN ($21.91)

      Dealt to Hero Q:club: K:heart:

      UTG raises to $0.40, fold, BTN calls $0.40, Hero calls $0.35, fold

      FLOP ($1.30) 7:club: 7:heart: K:diamond:

      Hero checks, UTG bets $0.80, BTN calls $0.80, Hero calls $0.80

      TURN ($3.70) 7:club: 7:heart: K:diamond: 5:diamond:

      Hero checks, UTG checks, BTN checks

      RIVER ($3.70) 7:club: 7:heart: K:diamond: 5:diamond: Q:heart:

      Hero bets $1.50, UTG folds, [color=red]BTN raises to $3, Hero ?????????


      54/2/0.8 253hands BTN

      PRE: i calls beocuse big fish play this hands.

      F: c/c is stand i thinks.

      T: i am sure i beat UTG and i think mosttime i ahed vs fish if he checks here.

      R: clera valuebet and get minrasie from fish, i beat only bluff or tricky play AA or AK - but he is super passiv, and i get reads he cc TP, minrasie AA on the flop even i must be good 7:1 this is hard decidon for me?

      What do you do?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello deivid2,

      That's kinda sick if you have such reads on him that he even is playing passively his overpair. Therefore I might even prefer just folding on river against that kind of player, I see just most of the time at least 7x from his side.

      Of course we need like 16% equity, although even against that kind of range we ain't getting it that easily:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 94,737% 89,474% 10,526% 0,000% AA, QQ, 55, A7s, KQs, 97s, 87s, A7o, KQo, 97o, 87o
      Player 2: 5,263% 0,000% 10,526% 89,474% KhQc

      And as you said he is even pretty passive with TP then therefore I don't expect him to have the AK hand here anyways.

      Best regards.