# [NL2-NL10] AQ with flush draw

• Bronze
Joined: 17.12.2007
I am playing SSS and my stack was \$5

Hit top pair and have 8 outs for the flush and 2 A's (not really looking at trips though). Is it ok to push here with this hand and why?

I am asking why to somewhat fundamental questions just to pick peoples brains

Where can I get some practical information on equity, particularly fold equity. Should i be having a go on Equilator?

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: \$0.10/\$0.25
8 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (8 players) Hero is MP2 with A Q
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, MP1 folds, Hero raises to \$1, CO folds, Button calls, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: A 3 8 (\$3.35, 3 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero is all-in \$4, Button raises to \$8, UTG+1 folds.
Uncalled bets: \$4 returned to Button.

Turn: 2 (\$11.35, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: \$11.35)

River: Q (\$11.35, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: \$11.35)

Results:
Final pot: \$11.35
• 4 replies
• Bronze
Joined: 21.09.2007
• Bronze
Joined: 17.12.2007
Thanks nicks
• Bronze
Joined: 17.12.2007
Might be starting to get the hang of this
• Bronze
Joined: 27.05.2007
download equilator or pokerstove - must have software for any poker player.

You can not estimate your fold equity precisely, because it is somewhat abstract. The thing you want to know about FE is: more is better)

simple example:

you are in HU situation with 15BB stack and pot is 10BB. You are first to act.

- our estimated equity against opponent's range is 30%
- our pot odds (for putting money in) are 1.6:1 or 38%

3 scenarios:

1) no fold equity

EV = 0.3*25BB + 0.7*(-15BB) = - 3BB

2) cbet/call (with fold equity)
- we assume that opponent will fold 40% of the time to our 8BB cbet, in 60% of the time he will push and we call.

EV = 0.4*(10BB) + 0.6*( 0.3*(25BB) - 0.7*(15BB) ) = 4BB - 1.8BB = + 2.2BB

3) push (a lot of fold equity)
- we assume that opponent will fold 60% of the time to our push and call 40% of the time

EV = 0.6*(10BB) + 0.4*( 0.3*(25BB) - 0.7*(15BB) ) = 6BB - 1.2BB = + 4.8BB

conclusion is obvious: our EV increases when our FE increases) Therefore, we are always interested in having higer FE (except spots where we have nuts or a very strong hand, in our example we are not interested in increasingthe fold equity when our equity is approx. more then 80%)

In your hand it is obvious all in, because you have very strong hand + second best Flush draw + fold equity. And because your stack is so small (odss are high) it will be + EV move long term.