Hi all!
I'm trying to develop a correct flop decision making process and would appreciate any help
Please keep in mind that I am very confused by the theory at the moment
I'm going to write out some of my thoughts about the flop and I'm asking you to correct me or add the points I've missed.
I guess I am not wrong to say that my decision is based on my equity + folding equity.
So, 3 cards are dealt and we need to re-assess our equity.
I hope that with knowledge of ranges and equilab practice it is possible to rather accurately estimate any hand's equity on the flop against a given range (I will be aiming aiming at 10% accuracy but I guess 5% is also plausible). Please correct me if I'm wrong.
Therefore, it is possible to analyse all hands into 3 categories.
Strong: Say, equity is above 60%
Mediocre: Equity around 50%; +- 10%.
Weak: Equity below 40%.
With strong hands we are way ahead and we want to maximise our value. Hence, we choose the best line given our position, preflop action and opponent type/stats.
With weak hands the decision is also easy. If it's trash, it's a fold apart from some standard lines like contibet flop or bet into unraised pot HU. If the hand has some chances to improve, we can try to build up folding equity if the opponent is right. The decision here is based on how much FE I think I have.
The hardest part is the mediocre category. What analysis do I need to adopt here to get the best expected value?
Also, am I correct to consider equity as the core of my hand analysis?
Does dividing flop hands into these 3 categories make sense at all?
In what situations (if any) should I ignore my equity?
Hopefully this was not too confusing
Thanks!