This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL20-NL50] [SH] 3B pot 3 way IP bluff Flop shove

    • Dublimax
      Dublimax
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($50) VP:19/PR:17/SQZ in blinds:9% read:very SQZ in BB with AK, pretty straight forward player
      BB ($42.20)
      UTG ($68.25)
      UTG+1 ($50) From EP: VP:18/PFR:18/WTSD:31/AF:1.6,1.1,1
      Hero ($75.88)
      BTN ($72.29)

      Dealt to Hero 4:spade: 5:spade:

      UTG raises to $1.50, UTG+1 calls $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, fold, SB raises to $8, fold, UTG calls $6.50, fold, Hero calls $6.50

      FLOP ($26) 5:heart: 8:diamond: 6:diamond:

      SB checks, UTG bets $20, Hero raises to $67.88 (AI), SB folds, UTG ??

      SB sqzed very quickly here so from my read I think he is quite strong.

      Pre: Can I can after the sqz and UTG call with 45s IP?

      Post: From my read SB Checks so I think he is giving up with AK probably. UTG bets so I think that he probably has 88-QQ or maybe overcards where he felt SB was weak.

      I think that by shoving flop I should make all UTG hands fold except for sets (well only 88 because I doubt he his calling SB sqz with less than 88 if he does) because my range is quite wide since I called the sqz with UTG having called already.

      The bluff has to work only 41% to be profitable. Not counting that I have few outs if I get called.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      When utg bets 20$ into 26$ pot I really doubt he is b/f his TT/99 against your shove, since flop is very drawy and you can shove a lot of draws.
      So I really don´t like it, pf call is fine, but fold on the flop. You´re generally not ahead and no point getting all-in for 140bb with pair of 5s and idiot end straight draw