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[NL20-NL50] KK 130bb vs nit 3betting

    • vmarqui
      vmarqui
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.01.2010 Posts: 4,816
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)

      Known players:
      MP1:
      $50.00
      MP2:
      $67.90
      MP3:
      $69.15
      CO:
      $50.00
      BU:
      $65.35
      SB (Hero):
      $102.50
      BB:
      $50.00


      Preflop: Hero is SB with K, K.
      2 folds, MP3 raises to $1.50, CO folds, BU raises to $4.50, Hero ???


      The first villain is a loose reg. Problem is the second is a 11 9 nit, who has a 3bet of 1.9. And we're slightly deep. So what do you think? what about calling?
  • 2 replies
    • rubysilesia
      rubysilesia
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.07.2007 Posts: 351
      How many hands do you have with this opponent? How many 3bet situations in it?
      This is a stat that converges very slowly even with 500+ hand it happens not very often (especially with tight players). If he is super tight call might be ok here I think. If you 4bet, he would push with KK+ and might fold QQ and AK. Some times he will push with all those hand than the call would be +EV. Sometimes he does this only with QQ+ (still +EV to call considering dead money). Again usually you dont have big enough sample to draw a certain conclusion.
      I had this type of situations where I was like 90% sure that I am beat based on the player observation and stats. I still pushed because I heard numerous times the you never fold Kings preflop.
      I'm interested on the Judges point of view here.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello vmarqui,

      While with 4bet we are only representing like KK+ I don't like the 4bet plus we are deep as well against that kind of nit. Therefore I would rather prefer to Call and play against him postflop. Such a nit might even fold his JJ/QQ in this spot.

      Best regards.