[NL20-NL50] [NL50 FR Rush] 88 FH v river crai.

    • whipflip15
      whipflip15
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.11.2006 Posts: 284
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      MP1 (Hero):
      $159.50
      MP2:
      $57.00
      MP3:
      $27.25
      CO:
      $70.15
      BU:
      $50.00
      SB:
      $49.95
      BB:
      $90.65
      UTG1:
      $59.75
      UTG2:
      $169.35


      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 8, 8.
      UTG1 folds, UTG2 raises to $1.00, Hero calls $1.00, 4 folds, SB calls $0.75, BB calls $0.50.

      Flop: ($4) J, 2, 8 (4 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, UTG2 bets $2.50, Hero raises to $7.50, SB folds, BB calls $7.50, UTG2 folds.

      Turn: ($21.5) T (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $15.00, BB calls $15.00.

      River: ($51.5) 2 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $34.00, BB raises to $67.15(All-In), Hero ???.

      Villain is unknown. Is it correct to fold here?
  • 4 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      problem is that only 2 hands would beat you on the river JJ and 22
      I doubt he is going to call c-bet and raise with TT on J82r board. So getting that good odds I can´t really see myself b/f basically with nuts on the river
      Some player may decide to c/rai there AJ, thinking he has there blockers to the nuts or decide to c/rai with 9T
    • thazar
      thazar
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.09.2009 Posts: 6,560
      without a serious read on villain there is no way to fold that. He could have JJ, TT or 22 and if that was his complete range you should fold but he could also have QQ+, AJ, A2s. So I'd call
    • whipflip15
      whipflip15
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.11.2006 Posts: 284
      I need to be right 1 in 5.5 times to BE here. So you think there is about a 18% chance here that he is doing some completely outrageous bluff or uber-thin-value crai with one of QQ+, AJ, A2s, 9T ect in which his play does not make sense on any street (except maybe PF but QQ+ will 3b)? Not only this but when he is ~200bbs deep, without any reads on me and playing rush (nits game). In over 100k hands the last 3 months I have not seen anything close to this and 18% does not seem right here to me. I can def see a spaz call on river with some of these hands but never crai.

      Edit: What exactly am I repping here? Like if I did have T9s I didn't 3b PF am I even bluffing river?
    • thazar
      thazar
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.09.2009 Posts: 6,560
      Originally posted by whipflip15
      I need to be right 1 in 5.5 times to BE here. So you think there is about a 18% chance here that he is doing some completely outrageous bluff or uber-thin-value crai with one of QQ+, AJ, A2s, 9T ect in which his play does not make sense on any street (except maybe PF but QQ+ will 3b)? Not only this but when he is ~200bbs deep, without any reads on me and playing rush (nits game). In over 100k hands the last 3 months I have not seen anything close to this and 18% does not seem right here to me. I can def see a spaz call on river with some of these hands but never crai.

      Edit: What exactly am I repping here? Like if I did have T9s I didn't 3b PF am I even bluffing river?
      you are asking what are you repping. More importantly is what level is he thinking at? Do you have any info on villain. He could just see his card and not care about what you have. as you said you only need 18% equity. against unknown I call anytime.