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[NL20-NL50] NL25 FR overpair on super drawy board

    • thazar
      Joined: 14.09.2009 Posts: 6,561
      $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
      9 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by

      UTG 1lugano ($36.08)
      UTG+1 bobbymors ($22)
      MP1 rune2203 ($24.04)
      MP2 Hero ($27.61)
      MP3 severine221 ($20.21)
      CO FEELtheFLAT____ ($25)
      BTN grelps ($80.30)
      SB michael0505 ($59.08)
      BB Loholov ($26.48)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.35, 9 players) Hero is MP2 K:heart: K:club:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.85, 3 folds, michael0505 raises to $1.75, 1 fold, Hero raises to $5.50, michael0505 calls $3.75

      Flop: 7:spade: 8:spade: 6:diamond: ($11.25, 2 players)
      michael0505 checks, Hero bets $8.85, michael0505 raises to $17.70, Hero goes all-in $22.11, michael0505 calls $4.41

      Turn: K:diamond: ($55.47, 2 players, 1 all-in)

      River: 7:club: ($55.47, 2 players, 1 all-in)

      I have only 38 hands on villain and no reads. the question is more general as this type of scenario happens quite a bit. I have an overpair (quite a lot over) and a very drawy board comes I get raised or c/r on the flop against mostly unknown. what do I do?. I will do an equity calculation with the range I put him on.

      been unknown I am giving him a very wide calling range on the flop.
      Operation canceled... 2,778,571 games processed in 1 seconds.

      Board: 8s 7s 6d

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 48.934 % 46.502 % 4.865 % 48.633 % KhKc
      Player 2: 51.066 % 48.633 % 4.865 % 46.502 % 55+, AsKs, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, T9s, 98s


      and I am just bellow 50% so I guess because of all the dead money in the pot it is an easy shove?
  • 2 replies
    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      I would easily go broke here since he called our 4 bet pre so we can't really out him on flopped 2 pair or set (he has to be pretty terrible to have that), consequently I only see him having here only an overpair (AA sometimes) or a nfd.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello thazar,

      Not only the dead money but as well I wouldn't him even put all that wide range, basically I don't think that he has those low SCs that often in 4bet pot. Rather some PP or this AsKs/AsQs type of hand unless he is really some station or trapping with AA.

      So therefore in 4bet pot with KK there is no way I am getting it away and if we even remove the holdings of the SCs then we should be even ahead. And of course the equity for correct Call is anyway correct there, we need like 25% equity? :D

      Best regards.