Originally posted by DeMarcohsp
Board: T
J
5
T
Equity Win Tie
MP2 10.95% 10.95% 0.00% { KhKc }
MP3 89.05% 89.05% 0.00% { TT, 55, T2s+, KsQs, Qs9s }
And I put only the suited TX combos in his range and I'm sure he has a fair amount of unsuited ones.
Also I think we need over 20% percent for it to be BE (actually ~25%, right?) so we shouldn't be calling just because we have KK in this spot.
BTW what do you think about the bet size? I think it's a good one because I'm getting good value from his draws and as I see it there is room for a fold.
Where does our judgement differ ?
Also I think we need over 20% percent for it to be BE (actually ~25%, right?)
- I get 19,2% equity, so 20% should be fine generally and that would make b/f KK very difficult, since imo he can shove there strong draws, like AsQs, AsJs and very likely also a lot of Jx hands, since he has only 50bb starting stack and he knows if he c/c turn he would also have to c/c rive,r so he would very likely shove these hands that he would call down, unless it is some kind of flushdraw where he can c/c turn and then c/f river ui
BTW what do you think about the bet size? I think it's a good one because I'm getting good value from his draws and as I see it there is room for a fold.
- seems fine, but I would not b/f that spot
Where does our judgement differ?
-somehow you tend to think not that big sample and without really no reads that he would only c/rai turn with Tx+ and some combo draws. I would say his range is definitely wider consider most of the times also Jx hands
K
(this is how i wld reason to myself even when i know im beat)