[NL20-NL50] NL25FR RUSH valuebet river with a set?

    • IDidIt4TheLuLz
      IDidIt4TheLuLz
      Silver
      Joined: 21.08.2010 Posts: 27
      Villain is playing 10/7 over 177hands. The question is simple - can we value bet on the river? I'm not worried about a six, but I'm slightly worried about a flush. Also there aren't many hands in his range that we beat and would call the river.

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      BB:
      $10.00
      UTG1:
      $37.34
      UTG2:
      $25.80
      MP1:
      $28.77
      MP2:
      $23.35
      MP3:
      $5.91
      CO:
      $12.50
      BU (Hero):
      $25.35
      SB:
      $32.24


      Preflop: Hero is BU with 4, 4.
      UTG1 folds, UTG2 raises to $0.87, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.87, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($2.09) 4, 8, K (2 players)
      UTG2 bets $1.25, Hero raises to $4.25, UTG2 calls $3.00.

      Turn: ($10.59) 5 (2 players)
      UTG2 checks, Hero bets $8.00, UTG2 calls $8.00.

      River: ($26.59) 7 (2 players)
      UTG2 checks, Hero checks.

      Final Pot: $26.59.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I doubt he is going to c/c your turn bet with just a flushdraw, so I really wouldn´t worry about flush too often. He has more likely there AK/KQ or AA
      If you don´t think he would call your half pot shove with these hands you can bet smt like 4-5$. I would generally still bet river for value, even if you don´t bet all-in.