[NL2-NL10] ATo MSS fear of floaters

    • padrezulmiro
      Joined: 01.03.2011 Posts: 62
      Known players:

      0,01/0,02 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant.Base 0.99 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is UTG2 with A:diamond: , T:heart:
      UTG1 folds, Hero raises to $0,06, 4 folds, BU calls $0,06, 2 folds.

      Flop: ($0,15) 6:spade: , 3:spade: , 2:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU checks.

      Turn: ($0,15) Q:club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0,09, BU folds, Hero gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $0,15

      hello mr. evaluater once again

      i held this hand today...i know it was wrong to play it right from the preF i was UTG should've only raised with AJs+, but i thought "hey what the hell?"

      i know its wrong to think this way though.

      I posted this hand though to get your opinion on the pstF action:

      villain already went once heads up against me and floated my cbet and made me fold on the turn, so this time i tried a different strategy: i checked on that flop that i thought "its out of my range" and with the Q appeared on the turn i raised since it was perfectly on my range

      Anyway i know this was awfully played...just want your opinion though :)

      ty in advance
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678

      According to the MSS chart we fold ATo on your position. The reason is that you mostly get REversed Implied Odds because Villains are mostly calling with AJ+ and sometimes A8s-A9s so your equity there is:

             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    64.70%  53.55%  11.15% { A8s+, ATo+ }
      MP3    35.30%  24.14%  11.15% { ATo }

      So this person is not folding that much on cbets due his WTSD so I will check/f the Flop. If he checks back I would bet $0.12 on the TUrn and mostly fire a barrel on the River yes

      Best regards,