[NL20-NL50] [Fr] nl50 QQ

    • franeczek
      franeczek
      Global
      Joined: 22.03.2009 Posts: 2,439
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($86.98)
      BB ($50)
      UTG ($93.58)
      UTG+1 ($22.70)
      UTG+2 ($51.75)
      Hero ($49.25)
      MP2 ($108)
      MP3 ($49.04)
      CO ($60.02)
      BTN ($51.65)

      Dealt to Hero Q:club: Q:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2, fold, MP3 calls $2, fold, BTN calls $2, fold, fold

      FLOP ($6.75) 3:diamond: 8:spade: 3:heart:

      Hero bets $4, MP3 calls $4, BTN calls $4

      TURN ($18.75) 3:diamond: 8:spade: 3:heart: 3:club:

      Hero bets $11.50, MP3 folds, BTN calls $11.50

      RIVER ($41.75) 3:diamond: 8:spade: 3:heart: 3:club: 8:diamond:

      Hero bets $31.75 (AI), BTN calls $31.75

      Villian is 13/10/28 (VPIP/PFR/AFQ) after 2.2 k hands. His fold to cbet is 50% to 2nd barell 50% and 67% to river barell.
      His AFq on river is only 16%.
      What would you do on river???Do you still value bet here QQ or just check fold would be better here cause he never bets here 99-JJ?? I won a spot with him boat vs boat couple hands before that one so I thought he might be little blit tilty.
      I didn't expect him to have there many 3x (almost none except maybe A3s cause fish also entered the pot). I thought that he fold his 89 or 78 against turn 2nd barell.
      The problem is that he isn't particullary aggresive on the river so I don't know if I will be called often enough to justify my bet there...(67% fold to river cbet/ AFq 16%)
  • 2 replies
    • thazar
      thazar
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.09.2009 Posts: 6,560
      I think you get called often enough by worse hands, even AQ might call you for a split there. I think your question is result orientated. You played it well and it suck if he had a better hand this time.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Imo you´re pot committed on the river so I really don´t see how you can c/f
      I´d shove and expect to get called down by worse boats, like 99-JJ or even if he has there 77-¤¤ he may call thinking you don´t have anything