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[NL2-NL10] Rush NL25 AA call allin on the flop with over pair

    • MrMardyBum
      Joined: 14.03.2009 Posts: 2,235
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10.89)
      BB ($29.38)
      UTG ($48.84)
      Hero ($9.20)
      UTG+2 ($33.48)
      MP1 ($73.13)
      MP2 ($34.86)
      CO ($25.31)
      BTN ($48.60)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: A:club:

      UTG raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.25, fold, fold, MP2 calls $2.25, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $1.50

      FLOP ($7.10) 9:club: 4:heart: T:diamond:

      UTG bets $7.10, Hero calls $6.95 (AI), MP2 folds

      No reads as I've JUST started playing MSS and playing only basics to start off. Is this call okay? I thought 9/10 times he is showing JJ/QQ here possibly AK, but unlikely donking into two opponents?

      Sorry if this is a bit straight forward, I'm pretty sure I should call here, but just like to check :f_grin:
  • 3 replies
    • Tampaloeres81
      Joined: 08.03.2009 Posts: 1,416


      Only hands that beats you are 99-TT. And why would he donk PSB with a set???

    • MrMardyBum
      Joined: 14.03.2009 Posts: 2,235
      Cheers, I thought the call was okay as well, always nice to gain a second opinion though... But alas he did donk with the nuts.
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678

      We have to give him a range for shoving so I would give him this:

      Board: T:diamond: 9:club: 4:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    44.64%  44.64%   0.00% { TdTh, ThTs, ThTc, 9d9h, 9h9s, 9h9c, ATs, QJs, T9s, ATo }
      MP3    55.36%  55.36%   0.00% { AdAc }

      I took 50% of TT-99 because I see them sometimes check/raising as well
      44 I would think he will slowplay

      Anyways you get 2:1 = 33% equity you need and you have 55% so it is an easy call :)

      Best regards,