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[NL2-NL10] NL2 - Correct Flop fold?

    • FSOPFounder
      Joined: 03.03.2011 Posts: 97
      Villian was pretty reckless, as you can tell by his stats...but wasn't comfortable calling his shove just chasing the straight.

      Known players:

      0.01/0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant.Base 0.99 by

      Preflop: Hero is BU with K:heart: , Q:diamond:
      MP2 raises to $0.04, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.04, SB calls $0.03, BB calls $0.02.

      Looks like I'm getting 2:1 pot odds...

      Flop: ($0.16) T:club: , 9:heart: , 5:club: (4 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, MP2 bets $0.04, Hero calls $0.04, SB folds, BB raises to $0.32, 2 folds, BB gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $0.28

      Board: 9:heart: T:club: 5:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      BU     52.42%  52.03%   0.39% { KhQd }
      BB     47.58%  47.18%   0.39% { 66-22, A8s-A2s, K9s-K2s, Q9s-Q2s, J2s+, T2s+, 95s+, 85s+, 74s+, 64s+, 54s, A9o-A2o, KJo-K2o, Q4o+, J6o+, T7o+, 97o+, 87o, 76o }
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hello FSOPFounder!

      According to the MSS chart we raise KQo here for value preflop. no need to limp such a strong hand!

      The Flop is a fold in my opinion against his minibet because you only have 3 outs to your straight but it only happens 6% of the time.

      His shove on the Flop is much more stronger than the range you give him:

      Board: T:club: 9:heart: 5:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    74.50%  74.31%   0.19% { TT-99, 55, ATs, KTs, QTs, JTs, T9s, 95s, Ac9c, 9c8c, 8c7c, ATo, KTo, QTo, T9o }
      MP3    25.50%  25.31%   0.19% { KhQd }

      Best regards,