[NL2-NL10] Nl10 Aa

    • snowylee
      snowylee
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2007 Posts: 701
      Known players: (for a description of vp$ip, pfr, ats, folded bb, af, wts, wsd or hands click here)       
      MP3:
      $15.31
      Hero:
      $10

      0.05/0.10 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Texas Grabem 1.9 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A:spade: , A:club:
      2 folds, MP1 calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.50, MP3 calls $0.50, 4 folds, MP1 calls $0.40.

      Flop: ($1.65) 2:club: , 7:heart: , 3:club: (3 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero bets $1.40, MP3 calls $1.40, MP1 folds.

      Turn: ($4.45) T:spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $3, MP3 calls $3.00.

      River: ($10.45) J:club: (2 players)
      Hero ?.

        Should I just c/f fold here? I cant imagine something that we beat any more, a slowplayed set already had us and the flush hit. I cant imagine him raising or betting a 7 or T here. And I dont think a blockbet would be very good here since the pot is so big compared to the stack.

      Final Pot: $16.45
  • 5 replies
    • Faye6891
      Faye6891
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.11.2007 Posts: 1,234
      In situations like this where you have to protect and disregard pot control, I'd bet more on the turn, I think $4 would be OK here. This way you have an easy push on the river since you won't be justifying his call on the turn, and you still may be ahead, although that's unlikely.

      As played I don't know what to do. Either check/call or push, I don't see myself folding there given the odds.
    • Thorsten77
      Thorsten77
      Black
      Joined: 28.05.2006 Posts: 12,896
      I'd shove the river as your remaining stack is so small.
    • snowylee
      snowylee
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2007 Posts: 701
      How would you have played it Thorsten?
    • Thorsten77
      Thorsten77
      Black
      Joined: 28.05.2006 Posts: 12,896
      I bet a little more on the turn, around 4$. However, when betting here I already plan for the next street and I'm all-in here with any river card.

      Let me describe why by investigating your line, assuming he has a flush and puts you on a strong hand. If he assumes that he will get a call from you on the river if he pushes, how do the odds look like?

      The pot is 4,45$, your bet is 3$ and the remaining stack is 5,10$. He has to pay 3$. He is getting 12,55$:3$ = 4,18:1 - with 9 Outs he need 4,11:1. Hence, if these assumptions are true, he is not making a mathematical mistake by calling! By increasing the bet size, you force him to pay more, but don't increase the final pot. If you bet 4$, he gets 12,55$:4$ = 3,14:1 - now calling is a mistake and you win if he calls and if he folds. Hope that clarifies the situation.
    • snowylee
      snowylee
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2007 Posts: 701
      Yes it does :) , thanks alot Thorsten. And btw, I like explanations like that since its so easy for me to miss something like I obviously did here :) . And not to be an ass or anything, but just getting the answer 'shove' doesnt really make me any smarter about it :O