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[NL20-NL50] [NL50 SH] - two pair vs high c/r %

    • StaticMoth
      Joined: 22.05.2009 Posts: 2,642
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($123)
      BB ($53.90)
      CO ($47.25)
      Hero ($99.25)

      Dealt to Hero K:spade: J:club:

      CO raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, fold, BB calls $1

      FLOP ($4.75) A:heart: K:club: J:diamond:

      BB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $3.25, BB calls $3.25, CO folds

      TURN ($11.25) A:heart: K:club: J:diamond: 9:club:

      BB checks, Hero bets $7.50, BB raises to $23, Hero folds

      BB wins $25

      Opener was a fish, who was mostly limping and never folding to 3bets.
      BB = 23/17/3.2AF/10% squeeze/flop c/r 8% + turn c/r 18%/32% WTSD (1500 hand sample)

      Even though he has a high c/r % @turn, we should be really crushed there vs everything and obv I can expect a river shove given stack/pot size ratio that would be left after I'd call.

      I'm excluding AK/JJ which he'd very likely squeeze, so all the two pairs/straights & pair+FD or pair+gutter range still has me insanely crushed now that I stove it.

      During the hand I thought I was making a much tougher fold vs this specific opp :tongue:
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Problem is his really large turn c/r % and option that he would likely also do that with J9, k9
      With AJ I´d call him down, but I guess you can fold KJ. He is likely not making moves on that board unless he has there two pair or better hand