[NL2-NL10] Nl5 Cg Aq Sb

    • acceleration123
      acceleration123
      Gold
      Joined: 11.12.2010 Posts: 5,311
      Villain is 20/20 over 56 hands.

      I wanted to get it in preflop against such kind of a stack, therefore I raise that big .... I think he can even go broke with AJ, 99+ etc.

      I am not sure about the flop however ... What´s the best move here ? I assume he will go broke with this range:


      Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

      68,310 games 0.005 secs 13,662,000 games/sec

      Board: 3c Jd 3d
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 21.845% 21.73% 00.11% 14844 78.00 { AdQs }
      Hand 1: 78.155% 78.04% 00.11% 53310 78.00 { 99+, AJs, KJs, QJs, JTs, AJo, KJo, QJo, JTo }


      ---

      Should I just check/fold ? Or what should I do here ?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($9.49)
      BB ($5.81)
      UTG ($5.17)
      UTG+1 ($4.93)
      UTG+2 ($1.84)
      MP1 ($2.05)
      MP2 ($5)
      CO ($5)
      BTN ($5.19)

      CO posts $0.05

      Dealt to Hero Q:spade: A:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, MP1 raises to $0.25, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.80, fold, MP1 calls $0.55

      FLOP ($1.70) 3:club: J:diamond: 3:diamond:

      Hero bets $1.25, MP1 calls $1.25 (AI)

      TURN ($4.20) 3:club: J:diamond: 3:diamond: 9:spade:

      RIVER ($4.20) 3:club: J:diamond: 3:diamond: 9:spade: A:spade:
  • 5 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello acceleration123,

      Basically you did just assume his range with he is going broke but you didn't put into his range a lot worse Ax hands, some broadways and so on hands. So therefore I'd as well ship it on flop while we might be even ahead of his high cards and of course even have fold equity against his small PPs.

      I'd maybe put him on something similar according to his stack that he might as well Call loose while he even doesn't have a full stack and therefore is a bad player:

      Board: 3:club: J:diamond: 3:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    47.53%  42.64%   4.89% { TT-22, A5s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, 98s, A7o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
      UTG+1  52.47%  47.57%   4.89% { AdQs }

      And we need like 43% equity. Therefore I'd say we can still ship it.

      Best regards.
    • acceleration123
      acceleration123
      Gold
      Joined: 11.12.2010 Posts: 5,311
      Thanks, I am glad that I was correct in that hand ... it´s pretty marginal situation though, right ?? Kinda hard to make the right decision in such situations, since everything seems to be bad ...
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by acceleration123
      Thanks, I am glad that I was correct in that hand ... it´s pretty marginal situation though, right ?? Kinda hard to make the right decision in such situations, since everything seems to be bad ...
      Guess not against his stack and his stats. :D I would as well ship it.
    • acceleration123
      acceleration123
      Gold
      Joined: 11.12.2010 Posts: 5,311
      Originally posted by veriz

      Guess not against his stack and his stats. :D I would as well ship it.
      Ye, but I mean, basically, he is never calling me without a made hand if I ship, so I probably always get a flip with 6 outs left at best.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by acceleration123
      Originally posted by veriz

      Guess not against his stack and his stats. :D I would as well ship it.
      Ye, but I mean, basically, he is never calling me without a made hand if I ship, so I probably always get a flip with 6 outs left at best.
      But do you want to get shoved by worse hand and then make a guessing game? :D He is not going to Call but either way he is definitely going to shove with worse.