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[NL2-NL10] second barrel

    • JHTAN
      JHTAN
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.07.2010 Posts: 1,343
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($36.15)
      BB ($51.75)
      Hero ($20)
      UTG+1 ($63.85)
      UTG+2 ($62.35)
      MP1 ($50)
      MP2 ($17)
      CO ($87)
      BTN ($45.55)

      Dealt to Hero Q:diamond: A:heart:

      Hero raises to $1.75, fold, UTG+2 calls $1.75, MP1 calls $1.75, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($6) J:heart: K:heart: 8:spade:

      Hero bets $3.50, UTG+2 calls $3.50, MP1 folds

      TURN ($13) J:heart: K:heart: 8:spade: Q:heart:

      Hero bets $14.75 (AI), UTG+2 folds

      Hero shows Q:diamond: A:heart:

      Hero wins $12.35

      UTG's stats,


      Uploaded with ImageShack.us

      MP1's stats,


      Uploaded with ImageShack.us

      Hello,
      I cbet this flop because I think I can barrel many Turn cards.
      UTG calls on the Flop, do not mean that he has strong hand because his fold to cbet is 0%.
      I second barrel on Turn because I don't think he has many K in his range becuase there is 2 Qs that reduce the probability he has KQ.
      I think I have many outs if I get called in case I am behind.

      Thanks.
  • 4 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Heyhello!

      You are definitly looking at the wrong stats. this player plays 8/6 and out of 5 samples he folded zero. But you never know in which 5 spots he never folded his cbet

      Anyway I think your Flop cbet is spew because you are always an underdog when you bluffshove the Turn with a GS+FD and that's like 29% equity

      As played you got lucky by folding out hands because this move is severely -EV

      Best regards,
      Gerv
    • JHTAN
      JHTAN
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.07.2010 Posts: 1,343
      Hey Gerv,

      Do you mean you will c/f on Flop?

      Thanks. :)
    • JHTAN
      JHTAN
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.07.2010 Posts: 1,343
      Hey Gerv,
      Please take another look at this thread.
      thanks.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Yes I will check/fold frequently on this flop for sure despite the fact you block out nutflushes