[NL2-NL10] NL10 - MSS, TT in MP1

    • BadeaCelRau
      BadeaCelRau
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.10.2010 Posts: 2,122
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      BB:
      $10.00
      UTG1:
      $13.25
      UTG2:
      $11.02
      MP1 (Hero):
      $4.09
      MP2:
      $10.39
      MP3:
      $11.34
      CO:
      $10.00
      BU:
      $10.00
      SB:
      $14.16


      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with T, T.
      UTG1 calls $0.10, UTG2 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, 3 folds, BU calls $0.50, 2 folds, UTG1 calls $0.40.

      Flop: ($1.65) J, 6, 8 (3 players)
      UTG1 bets $0.20, Hero raises to $1.08, BU folds, UTG1 calls $0.88.

      Turn: ($3.81) J (2 players)
      UTG1 bets $0.40, Hero raises to $2.51(All-In), UTG1 calls $2.11.

      River: ($8.83) 2 (2 players)


      Final Pot: $8.83.

      Results follow:

      Hero shows two pairs, jacks and tens(Tc Th).
      UTG1 shows three of a kind, jacks(9c Jd).

      UTG1 wins with three of a kind, jacks(9c Jd).

      Villain stats in 220 hands :
      27(vpip)/2(pfr)/50(f 3bet)/0(steal)
      71(fcbet)/50(f 2nd barrel)/33(wtsd)/3.4(af)

      The sample is larger here, at the moment when I played the hand I had about half the hands.
      He was donking small every hand and the other opponent was calling and folding every time he didn't hit set (noob losing regular) so I thought it's ok if I raise. On the turn another J comes so it's unlikely for him to hold one (this doesn't apply to PartyPoker, I noticed every possible time someone holds trips :D ) but he bets bigger this time, so ...
      1. Is it a sign that he has trips?
      2. Thinking about his whole range can I still go all-in? calling is out of question, the board being drawy.
  • 3 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      We cannot assume his 4bb donkbet on the Turn indicates a strong or weak hand, I think we can just assume it is another Flop donkbet he makes everytime (trusting on your description here ;) )

      So the Turn I would shove too since calling looks gambling ish

      Best regards,
      Gerv
    • zwink
      zwink
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.06.2009 Posts: 12
      On the turn are you shoving for value? Because I can't really see him calling with anything we beat. This seems to me like a WA/WB situation where we would just try to get to showdown cheaply.
      Or am I wrong?
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Originally posted by zwink
      On the turn are you shoving for value? Because I can't really see him calling with anything we beat. This seems to me like a WA/WB situation where we would just try to get to showdown cheaply.
      Or am I wrong?
      He can lead flushdraws, midpairs, midPPs here and I dont see him limping Jx often UTG