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[NL2-NL10] NL50 SH flush draw

    • Floating
      Joined: 15.07.2007 Posts: 132
      Ruperz1980 is at seat 0 with $82.05.
      Floatin is at seat 1 with $115.50.
      Marco75 is at seat 3 with $12.75.
      slobodan32 is at seat 4 with $109.30.
      beky55 is at seat 5 with $48.30.

      The dealer is seat 3.

      slobodan32 posts a blind of $.25.
      beky55 posts a blind of $.50.

      (Floatin is dealt A :club: J :club:)

      Ruperz1980 folds.
      Floatin raises $1.50.
      Marco75 folds.
      slobodan32 raises $4.50.
      beky55 calls for $6.
      Floatin calls for $4.50.

      The flop comes
      5 :club: 10 :diamond: 10 :club:

      slobodan32 bets $19.50.
      beky55 goes all-in for $41.80.
      Floatin calls for $41.80.
  • 3 replies
    • SonicXT
      Joined: 15.06.2007 Posts: 4,736
      Hmm, no ... I'd fold that one.
      You got 15 outs, but they may all be forfeited ones.
      With a bet and raise in front on a paired board, I wouldn't risk that on a draw there.
      Any J overcard is probably already useless (AA-KK-QQ-Tx-55)
      An A is very likely dominated so close to useless as well. (vs AT-AQ-AK-Tx-55)
      Leaves you with the 9 out flush draw ... however, any high club might give an opponent a full house... (->8)
      Total discounted outs : 9 ... coinflip call, I think EV0, just a variance seeker.

      Just because I have this feeling, I need to ask, did you lose a QQ ? :D
    • Thorsten77
      Joined: 28.05.2006 Posts: 12,896
      I fold. I don't see me ahead and I also don't expect that my overcards are outs. Given 9 Outs (he may have 55 and we are dead, he may also have a T which gives him a redraw), it's a fold.
    • Floating
      Joined: 15.07.2007 Posts: 132

      Just because I have this feeling, I need to ask, did you lose a QQ ? :D
      do you mean if i lost to QQ?

      no, the first raiser folded showing QQ

      actually i was counting on him to give me the needed extra pot odds to draw :rolleyes: , taking 9 outs into consideration.

      the flush card did not come, villain showed Tx

      in general i think i have to be more cautious on paired boards...