[NL2-NL10] overpair on dry broad

    • JHTAN
      JHTAN
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.07.2010 Posts: 1,331
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($41.35)
      BB ($59.80)
      Hero ($20.50)
      UTG+1 ($50.25)
      UTG+2 ($43.45)
      MP1 ($50.25)
      MP2 ($69.05)
      CO ($28.05)
      BTN ($56.10)

      Dealt to Hero K:diamond: K:club:

      Hero raises to $1.75, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $1.25

      FLOP ($3.75) 2:club: 9:diamond: 9:club:

      BB checks, Hero bets $1.80, BB raises to $3.60, Hero calls $1.80

      TURN ($10.95) 2:club: 9:diamond: 9:club: A:heart:

      BB checks, Hero checks

      RIVER ($10.95) 2:club: 9:diamond: 9:club: A:heart: 4:club:

      BB bets $4, Hero calls $4

      Results follow:

      BB shows J:spade: J:diamond:
      (Pre 18%, Flop 8.4%, Turn 4.5%)

      Hero shows K:diamond: K:club:
      (Pre 82%, Flop 91.6%, Turn 95.5%)

      Hero wins $18.05


      Villain's stats,


      Uploaded with ImageShack.us

      Hello,
      Do you think raise Flop is good? if raise, then how much? jam?
      Do you call the River bet?

      Thanks.
  • 4 replies
    • aleksandarbogdanov
      aleksandarbogdanov
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.04.2010 Posts: 144
      On the flop i will bet 2$ or 2.25$,against his min reise i will make it 8$-9$ and shuv the turn no metter what.
      The reason for this is that i want to get max value from 77,88,TT,(JJ,QQ-but i think he will 3bet this hands{still the gay looks like a fish})QJc,AcXc,QTc,JTc
      with which he thinks he's ahead
      As played i will call the river everytime i have to be right 22% of the times and with his range we have min 26%. Even against this range we have a call.

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 24,490 % 24,490 % 0,000 % 75,510 % KdKc
      Player 2: 75,510 % 75,510 % 0,000 % 24,490 % JJ-TT, 88-77, 22, AcXc,Qcxc,
      AJo -ATo, 92o+

      I woud be glad to hear what you think about it
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hello,

      Why don't you 3bet the Flop for value? you only think he c/raises 9x :P :P ?
      I 3bet to $8, shoving is fine too

      As played on the River, i am more inclined to fold because he can check 9x, Ax to check/rai and stuff and I don't think he is betting hands you beat at the moment

      Best regards,
      Gerv
    • JHTAN
      JHTAN
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.07.2010 Posts: 1,331
      Originally posted by Gerv
      Hello,

      Why don't you 3bet the Flop for value? you only think he c/raises 9x :P :P ?
      I 3bet to $8, shoving is fine too

      As played on the River, i am more inclined to fold because he can check 9x, Ax to check/rai and stuff and I don't think he is betting hands you beat at the moment

      Best regards,
      Gerv
      Hello Gerv,
      Is that good to 3bet on this dry Flop? I mean I don't want to isolate to better hands like 22 or 9x. May be against this opponent, 3bet is good. But do you 3bet against opponent that rarely c/r on this dry flop?

      Thanks.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      I think this villain would slowplay 22 (full houses) so that only leaves 98s,A9s versus draws & random overpairs

      Rarely check/raises flop is really hard to determine if we are looking at stats. There are alot of board textures possible ([52-2]*[52-2-1]*[52-2-1-1] = 117 600 possibilities) and he can for example only check/raise on drawheavy boards but you don't know that

      - Gerv