*Originally posted by belayd*

*Originally posted by EmanuelC16*

Now do the math on the chips won or lost.

Could you help me with that?

I'll try! So lets consider $100 stacks to make it a bit more simple to calculate. Folding has 0EV in both players case. Therefore, if we are dealt KK vs K2 100 times and get it AI 40% of the time, this means 40*$200=$8k to be split. KK has 93% equity = $7440 out of $8k, right? Since he invested $4k to win $7440 this gives him $3440 EV, yes? K2 has 7% equity = $560 and invests $4k => EV = -$3440 (obviously, since they are 1v1, what the other won, the other lost).

Now, if the "good" player folds K2 usually and plays it 7% of the time.

K2 vs KK 100 times, 7% => 7*200 = $1.4k. 7% equity => $98 for Hero with $700 invested which means a loss of $602, while in the other case Villain would lose $3.4k, therefore we would make a profit of ~$2.8k.

Not sure all the math is OK since it's 3:30 AM here but wanted to get it done!

I hope you understand what I mean... basically, if you get into +EV situations more than -EV it will end up +EV in the long run, even though you can't play perfect and always be +EV every hand in every situation because you cannot know exactly what your opponent has AND how he reacts to your actions.

Like someone before said: it's not about winnings every hand, it's about winning the most chips/money.