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[NL20-NL50] TPTK for ~75bb

    • sootedAs
      Joined: 28.10.2010 Posts: 76
      Villain is 33/16, AF 1.8, Agg% 23, 3.1 3bet over 211 hands all played during todays session

      How bad is stacking off here?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($3.61)
      BB ($17.80)
      UTG ($54)
      Hero ($31.15)
      CO ($14.26)
      BTN ($21.09)

      Dealt to Hero K:heart: A:club:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.75, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.50

      FLOP ($1.65) J:heart: 6:club: K:spade:

      BB checks, Hero bets $1.09, BB calls $1.09

      TURN ($3.83) J:heart: 6:club: K:spade: 5:club:

      BB checks, Hero bets $2.71, BB raises to $11.96, Hero raises to $21.21, BB calls $4 (AI)

      RIVER ($35.75) J:heart: 6:club: K:spade: 5:club: 7:heart:
  • 2 replies
    • StaticMoth
      Joined: 22.05.2009 Posts: 2,642
      Quite bad imo - his AF/AFq is waaay to passive to be doing this with a hand that you beat.

      Vs guys like him you need to use the mantra of microstakes.
      "Bet bet bet for value and fold if you get raised"

      Even if we give him a looot of combodraws like AQ :club: or Q9 :club:
      Ooor made marginal hands with a combodraw like AJ :club:
      (which a passive guy like him 90% of the time doesn't play this way)

      You have only 29% equity vs that whole range.

      And if we assume that a passive guy like him doesn't play his combodraws aggressively, then you are basically completely dead there to KJ/66/65/55 with ~8-10% equity.

      EDIT: Now I saw the other hand you posted ( K-high flush on the river ) that happened before this vs the same villain, so our decision making in this hand crucially depends on what he had in the previous hand there imo.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think it is quite standard
      He would get there often all-in with his draws and tp hands,t hat AK crushes and if he happens to have two pair, then I´d just consider it to be variance
      You get to b/f enough times worse hands on the turn if you want so