[NL2-NL10] nl5 rush TT turn play

    • Jim4rdo
      Jim4rdo
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.10.2010 Posts: 1,252
      Again no stats on villian.

      I feel I could maybe raise the flop, although a call isn't too bad.

      The 6 on the turn is a bit annoying for me.

      I can't be certain if a 7 comes it gives me the best hand, in case villian is on tj or similar, although I don't think so since I block a T, and diamonds could give him a flush.

      But if I give him a range:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 44.460 % 43.679 % 1.563 % 54.759 % ThTc
      Player 2: 55.540 % 54.759 % 1.563 % 43.679 % QQ-JJ, ATs+, T9s, 98s, 98o

      Which might even be too generous, I suppose I get pretty good odds to call the turn, since he's deep as well, and I only need 27% equity to call.

      Thoughts here?

      Thanks!

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($14.79)
      BB ($1.93)
      UTG ($2.04)
      UTG+1 ($5)
      UTG+2 ($8.37)
      MP1 ($2.02)
      Hero ($5.06)
      CO ($5)
      BTN ($3.17)

      Dealt to Hero T:spade: T:heart:

      fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $0.17, fold, Hero calls $0.17, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($0.41) Q:heart: 9:diamond: 8:diamond:

      UTG+2 bets $0.25, Hero calls $0.25

      TURN ($0.91) Q:heart: 9:diamond: 8:diamond: 6:club:

      UTG+2 bets $0.56, Hero folds

      UTG+2 wins $0.85
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Jim4rdo,

      Rather would raise the flop than Call the turn. You basically can't Call there profitable and correct implied odds while flushdraw is possible and might be already drawing dead. Plus even if a J or 7 comes, it will be 4card straight and you will only 1 have from your hand. Don't think that he is going to pay you a lot. Therefore it's a fold on turn.

      Best regards.