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[NL20-NL50] [SH] rush NL25 river play

    • Torg0th
      Torg0th
      Black
      Joined: 26.03.2010 Posts: 56
      Full Tilt - $0.25 NL RUSH (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      CO: $27.70
      BTN: $9.75
      SB: $25.79
      Hero (BB): $25.00
      UTG: $15.30
      MP: $48.38

      SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has Q:heart: J:club:

      fold, MP raises to $0.50, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.25

      Flop: ($1.10, 2 players) Q:spade: J:diamond: 4:heart:
      Hero checks, MP bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

      Turn: ($2.10, 2 players) 8:diamond:
      Hero bets $1.25, MP calls $1.25

      River: ($4.60, 2 players) 6:club:
      Hero bets $2.00, MP raises to $10.60, Hero folds

      No good sample on villain but he played 71/29 over 14 hands so i guess we can assume he tends to be on the loose side.
      On the flop I check/call because I figure it hits his range and board is rather dry so there's a good chance he bets, I think I should've raised him though he's probably calling with a straight draw and AQ/KQ maybe even AJ or KJ.
      On the turn my bet is on the smallish side to keep those one pair hands there.
      On the river I would have a way better idea how to play it if I had reads on him but seeing as he's rather unknown I figure he has a set or a straight here almost always.
  • 3 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I´d c/r flop and play for stacks, but if you take that line then you should call river, he can first raise for value worse hands+ he can always bluff there
    • Torg0th
      Torg0th
      Black
      Joined: 26.03.2010 Posts: 56
      What worse hands? From his play I really don't see him having a worse 2 pair like Q8 or J8 and I doubt he's making an almost 2x pot raise with AQ or KQ for value.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by Torg0th
      What worse hands? From his play I really don't see him having a worse 2 pair like Q8 or J8 and I doubt he's making an almost 2x pot raise with AQ or KQ for value.
      Well to me it is likely 86s, although I´m not sure why he is making that big river raise. So I would likely also put him some kind pf miss draw, that should make b/c river quite easy with top two pair.
      He is also reping 75 and 66, but that is generally so small part of his range that I wouldn´t worry about that. You have very strong hand consider that board and I would not look hero fold against player who min-raised pf, checked back flop and now suddenly decides to raise on the river