[NL2-NL10] AK nl10

    • deivid2
      deivid2
      Global
      Joined: 23.05.2009 Posts: 6,366
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($3.40)
      BB ($8.22)
      UTG ($15.30)
      UTG+1 ($15.48)
      Hero ($10)
      BTN ($11.26)

      Dealt to Hero A:heart: K:diamond:

      UTG calls $0.10, fold, Hero raises to $0.40, fold, fold, BB calls $0.30, UTG calls $0.30

      FLOP ($1.25) 9:heart: 6:heart: 3:heart:

      BB checks, UTG bets $1.25, Hero raises to $5, BB folds, UTG calls $3.75

      TURN ($11.25) 9:heart: 6:heart: 3:heart: 4:spade:

      UTG bets $9.90 (AI), Hero calls $4.60 (AI)

      RIVER ($20.45) 9:heart: 6:heart: 3:heart: 4:spade: Q:heart:


      56/11/2.5 75hands

      PRE: stand
      F:

      MP2 55.45% 55.45% 0.00% 99, 66, 33, A9s, K9s, Q9s, J9s, T9s, 98s, 96s, A9o, K9o, Q9o, J9o, T9o, 98o, 96o
      MP3 44.55% 44.55% 0.00% AhKd

      i don't want calls and fold turn bet but if i rasie and allin i usually behind...and i don't sure if i hit my flush he paid off me. / so i decied gamlbling here and rasie big.

      T: when he calls i am preety sure he don't have set but he alwyas have TP so turn is easy call.
  • 4 replies
    • fryandspicy
      fryandspicy
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.05.2010 Posts: 440
      I think it's fine to raise the flop here to call a shove. Although you are usually slightly behind against his calling or jamming range the fold equity should be more than enough to make up for that. In addition, you can't call here because if a heart hits the turn he'll freeze up and it will be very hard to extract any value even in position. I do think you raised too much though. Although it gives you an easy decision on the turn, I would rather the easy decision be to fold rather than call in this kind of pot. Note that you missed flopped flushes from your equity analysis (which could take some of our outs).

      If you raise it to 3.75 (pot size raise i think) The pot now stands at 8.75 before he shoves and you'll have 5.85ish left so you won't be getting the odds to call a turn shove unless you hit your flush. (Odds of 8.75+5.85/5.85 = 2.5-1, so you just miss out on your odds if he has top pair here) Meaning you can still get away from the hand.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello deivid2,

      Huh? First of all, why do you think he wouldn't Call with set there? He is Calling to make sure that not a flush card hits. And your range is way too wide, it may only work for the raise part but not the continue of the hand.

      So therefore that's I don't even like the Raise there, you just isolating yourself against better hands. His limp preflop may even indicate to a set-mine hand. Therefore I'd just Call the flop and might even get great odds if someone else will join the pot than get it in. Do you really think that he is going broke here with any 9x as you wrote it into the equilab?

      Best regards.
    • deivid2
      deivid2
      Global
      Joined: 23.05.2009 Posts: 6,366
      this player yeah i think he play like that all TP and he rerasie with set flop.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by deivid2
      this player yeah i think he play like that all TP and he rerasie with set flop.
      Okey then the other fact. You need like 47% equity there for even being break-even. And even if we give him that wide range you ain't getting it.