[NL2-NL10] nl5 rush AA flop

    • Jim4rdo
      Jim4rdo
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.10.2010 Posts: 1,252
      Villian is 12/10/inf agg over 94 hands.

      I think his calling range is quite tight for a 3bet.

      Vs. pfr he has has raised their bet before, and always c-bets, so is obviously pretty aggressive.

      But I don't think I'm really ahead here, his calling range is JJ-AA I think, and since he didn't 4bet me I don't think kings.

      Ok fold?

      Thanks!

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($5.93)
      BB ($7.55)
      UTG ($5.55)
      UTG+1 ($6.20)
      UTG+2 ($10.80)
      MP1 ($11)
      MP2 ($5.20)
      CO ($6.77)
      BTN ($6.64)

      Dealt to Hero A:club: A:heart:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.20, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.65, fold, UTG+1 calls $0.45

      FLOP ($1.35) J:heart: 2:club: Q:heart:

      Hero bets $1.05, UTG+1 raises to $2.48, Hero folds

      UTG+1 wins $3.22
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Jim4rdo,

      He might still be able to even trap with KK or something similar. And even sometimes he may be calling with a hand like AQ or whatsoever. Against more tighter range you are pretty much still getting the equity. Therefore I guess you can even consider going broke here.

      Board: J:heart: 2:club: Q:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    47.85%  47.85%   0.00% { KK-JJ }
      UTG+1  52.15%  52.15%   0.00% { AhAc }

      But of course depends what kind of reads you had the opponent and how did you see him playing, folding can be an option.

      Best regards.
    • Jim4rdo
      Jim4rdo
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.10.2010 Posts: 1,252
      Yeah, I was thinking about that at work (poker on the mind eh).

      I'll keep in mind what you said for next time, so thanks :)
      But for now i'll just pretend he showed QQ and that it was an awesome fold :f_cool:
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Jim4rdo
      Yeah, I was thinking about that at work (poker on the mind eh).

      I'll keep in mind what you said for next time, so thanks :)
      But for now i'll just pretend he showed QQ and that it was an awesome fold :f_cool:
      Hehe, well done. :) And of course he doesn't think that much ahead. If you really would 3bet preflop then you will likely have a very strong range and therefore he shouldn't really be worried about the flop and he should rather Call in his situation, he would get much more value.