[NL2-NL10] villain dbet on Turn

    • JHTAN
      JHTAN
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.07.2010 Posts: 1,331
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($69.85)
      BB ($50)
      UTG ($62)
      UTG+1 ($9)
      UTG+2 ($8.80)
      Hero ($20.25)
      MP2 ($49.25)
      CO ($58.75)
      BTN ($30)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: J:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.50, fold, CO calls $1.50, fold, fold, BB calls $1

      FLOP ($4.75) K:diamond: 7:spade: A:spade:

      BB checks, Hero bets $2.30, CO folds, BB calls $2.30

      TURN ($9.35) K:diamond: 7:spade: A:spade: A:heart:

      BB bets $2.50, Hero raises to $16.45 (AI), BB calls $13.95

      RIVER ($42.25) K:diamond: 7:spade: A:spade: A:heart: 3:heart:


      Results follow:

      BB shows 7:diamond: 7:heart:
      (Pre 52%, Flop 92.9%, Turn 84.1%)

      Hero shows A:diamond: J:diamond:
      (Pre 48%, Flop 7.1%, Turn 15.9%)

      BB wins $40.15


      BB's stats,


      Uploaded with ImageShack.us

      Hello,

      On the Flop, I think I should bet about 3/4 pot.
      On the Turn I don't know what the dbet means.
      How do you react with this dbet?

      thanks.
  • 3 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      This villain is so tight, he doesn't donkbet random flushdraws or K:sJ ish hands. So I think he leads 77, AT+ in which your equity is:


      Board: A:spade: 7:spade: K:diamond:  A:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    24.37%  10.38%  13.98% { AdJd }
      MP3    75.63%  61.65%  13.98% { 77, ATs+, AJo+ }



      So at best we flat it and hope to hit a boat on River

      Best regards,
      Gerv
    • JHTAN
      JHTAN
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.07.2010 Posts: 1,331
      so we have to fold if we missed the River?
      which is sad if we have to fold trip X(

      thanks :)
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Originally posted by JHTAN
      which is sad if we have to fold trip X(

      Board: A:spade: 7:spade: K:diamond:  A:heart:  2:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    82.12%  71.40%  10.72% { 77, ATs+, AJo+ }
      MP3    17.88%   7.16%  10.72% { AdJd }




      Yes but if you are always beat, it doesn't make sense to put more money in here

      so ye we fold but I said that before as well in my original post

      - Gerv