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[NL2-NL10] Nl2 AQ missed flop against maniac

    • joeldowey123
      Joined: 09.06.2010 Posts: 961
      I felt i had to call as i had seen him push uber-light before and i was prob well ahead of his range

      guess i was just lucky

      okay call given the reads? or not really

      PartyGaming - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      UTG: $2.00
      MP: $2.03
      CO: $1.97
      BTN: $1.39
      SB: $1.13
      Hero (BB): $2.00

      SB posts SB $0.01, Hero posts BB $0.02

      Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero has A:spade: Q:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.07, SB calls $0.06, Hero raises to $0.28, BTN calls $0.21, fold

      Flop: ($0.63, 2 players) 8:spade: 3:heart: 7:club:
      Hero bets $0.45, BTN raises to $1.11 and is all-in, Hero calls $0.66

      Turn: ($2.85, 2 players) 6:diamond:

      River: ($2.85, 2 players) A:club:

      Hero shows A:spade: Q:heart: (One Pair, Aces) (Pre 62%, Flop 22%, Turn 14%)
      BTN mucks K:spade: 3:spade: (One Pair, Threes) (Pre 38%, Flop 78%, Turn 86%)
      Hero wins $2.71
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello joeldowey123,

      With your reads and against his stack it's definitely considerable. But do you really think that he would ship it without a pair? Or is he capable of shipping with just overs/draws?

      And of course for example:

      Board: 8:spade: 3:heart: 7:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    22.22%  22.22%   0.00% { AsQh }
      UTG+1  77.78%  77.78%   0.00% { Ks3s }

      And we need 24% equity. Therefore it should be rather a fold against such a pair. Just to get the understanding. But with wider range you likely even get the equity.

      Best regards.