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[NL2-NL10] nuts flush draw

    • JHTAN
      JHTAN
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.07.2010 Posts: 1,343
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($34.65)
      BB ($48.15)
      UTG ($16.55)
      UTG+1 ($69.55)
      UTG+2 ($46.80)
      MP1 ($134)
      MP2 ($71.25)
      CO ($50)
      Hero ($20)

      Dealt to Hero 7:spade: A:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.50, fold, BB calls $1

      FLOP ($3.25) J:heart: 3:spade: 4:spade:

      BB bets $3, Hero calls $3

      TURN ($9.25) J:heart: 3:spade: 4:spade: 4:heart:

      BB bets $4.50, Hero calls $4.50

      RIVER ($18.25) J:heart: 3:spade: 4:spade: 4:heart: Q:club:

      BB bets $11.25, Hero folds

      BB wins $17.35

      Hello,
      Villain is unknown with 36/9(11hands)

      Board: J:heart: 3:spade: 4:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      SB     42.46%  42.42%   0.04% { As7s }
      BB     57.54%  57.50%   0.04% { J2s+, J2o+ }


      On the Flop, I getting pot odds about 33%. So, I call and I don't think I have FED if I shove and he most likely have Jx.


      Board: J:heart: 3:spade: 4:spade:  4:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      SB     23.01%  23.01%   0.00% { As7s }
      BB     76.99%  76.99%   0.00% { J2s+, J2o+ }


      On the Turn, I getting pot odds about 26%. I call because I think I have implied odds.
      But, I think I should fold because the broad is paired he may be has fullhouse.

      On the River, I think it is easy fold because I think he may be has QJ very offen.

      thanks
  • 1 reply
    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Hey JHTAN,

      On the flop your equity is for two streets while the odds villain gives you are just for 1 street, so for 1 street your equity is more like 24-26% with your 12 outs thus I just fold to his potsized bet. Another option would be to raise the donk bet and to go broke, but I prefer the fold because villain looks more like a calling station type and less like aggressive bluffer.

      Best regards,
      burek2000