[NL2-NL10] Hand from Public Private Coaching - turned draw

    • hasenbraten
      Joined: 20.02.2006 Posts: 3,587
      UTG ($9.37)
      UTG+1 ($20.33)
      UTG+2 ($23.50)
      MP1 ($27.85)
      Hero ($25)
      MP3 ($21.12)
      CO ($19.60)
      Button ($20.83)
      SB ($26.72)
      BB ($24.74)

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A:diamond: , Q:diamond: .
      4 folds, Hero raises to $1, MP3 calls $1, 3 folds, BB calls $0.75.

      Flop: ($3.10) K:club: , 5:club: , 9:diamond: (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $2.25, MP3 calls $2.25, BB folds.

      Turn: ($7.60) T:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.25, MP3 raises to $12.25, Hero calls $8.

      Kinda interesting. We had no read on the opponent, he calls our flopbet into two people, we more or less completely missed. Then we turn some big draw with likely ~13 outs. We do have the option do C/RAI here, ofc. betting again is of course also possible, the only option we dont really have is c/c, unless vilian bets something stupid like 1$. but we at the absolute maximum have like 30% equity, in the worst case like 25%, our hand isnt really strong enough to call a big bet or a big raise, since we cant be too sure if we get it in on the river if we c/c. anyways, now we get raised. our equity sings between 25% and 30% so we need something between 2.5:1 or 3:1 to call. our direct odds are 3:1 since hero bet out smallish on the turn. we usually can asume to get the last 5$ on the river since villian kinda commited himself, which makes our ods even better. so calling is okay.
      i still prefer the CRAI here, since we cant be forced to call off even more $ with just a draw on the turn and then give up if we dont hit, since we add the maximum of possible foldequity to our draws equity and if it gets checked through, thats not a bad result since we dont have a hand yet. anyways, betting is okay, too

      mfg lutz
  • 3 replies