[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50, 44 set on monoflop

    • TetraQuark
      TetraQuark
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,520
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      CO:
      $50.00
      BU:
      $20.00
      SB (Hero):
      $82.40
      BB:
      $52.75
      MP2:
      $50.50
      MP3:
      $60.25


      Preflop: Hero is SB with 4, 4.
      MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $2.00, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.75, BB folds.

      Flop: ($4.5) 3, 4, 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.50, MP3 calls $3.50.

      Turn: ($11.5) T (2 players)
      Hero bets $8.50, MP3 raises to $24.00, Hero raises to $76.90, MP3 calls $30.75(All-In).

      River: ($143.15) 4 (2 players)


      Final Pot: $143.15.

      Hi!

      Villain is 24/18, AF 1.1, 100 hands.

      Can we get away from this hand?
  • 2 replies
    • N0pr3s3n7
      N0pr3s3n7
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 14.05.2009 Posts: 1,274
      nice river , bet/fold turn he is never bluffing and u got 20 % equity to complete full house.

      although because you are deep i think we can find the equity if we call,and shove river if we complete and fold if we don't imrpove.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Gregor86,

      We need like 39% equity here and lets say against some wider range which will include all the sets which beat us, flushes which beat us and may easily have as well some overpair+FD type of hand:

      Board: 3:diamond: 4:diamond: 9:diamond:  T:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    59.60%  59.60%   0.00% { TT-99, 33, AdAc, KdKh, QdQs, JdJc, AdKd, AdQd, KdQd, AdJd, JdTd }
      UTG+1  40.40%  40.40%   0.00% { 4h4c }

      So therefore I guess I would as well just ship it on turn. Other option would be of course to just fold the hand and avoid the variance broke spot. We ain't that deep either that we should be so scared of going broke.

      Best regards.