[NL2-NL10] Rush NL10 AA COvSB

    • dooleslovs
      Joined: 17.02.2011 Posts: 481
      Should I fold to river bet? Vilian is NIT
      Full Tilt - $0.10 NL RUSH - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      UTG+1: $8.54
      MP: $11.23
      MP+1: $10.23
      LP: $9.45
      Hero (CO): $22.33
      BTN: $4.49
      SB: $10.00
      BB: $13.09
      UTG: $10.00

      SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has A:spade: A:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, SB calls $0.25, fold

      Flop: ($0.70, 2 players) 2:club: 3:diamond: K:club:
      SB bets $0.30, Hero calls $0.30

      Turn: ($1.30, 2 players) 3:spade:
      SB bets $1.10, Hero calls $1.10

      River: ($3.50, 2 players) 6:heart:
      SB bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50

      SB shows 2:heart: 2:diamond: (Full House, Twos full of Threes) (PreFlop 18%, Flop 89%, Turn 91%)
      Hero mucks A:spade: A:heart: (Two Pair, Aces and Threes) (PreFlop 82%, Flop 11%, Turn 9%)
      SB wins $9.80
  • 1 reply
    • amplifyd
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 1,769

      Yes generally I think you should fold on the river, esp given your read.

      Folding the turn is viable though perhaps a little weak - since we have no Ac blocker so he can be donking out FDs and we also beat some of his value range (Kx) - but likely straight foward villian will ch/call his Kx on the river and may not opt for betsizing so close to pot - especially since we can likely weight his range of Kx more to Kx where x<A most of time (since we are normally expecting villians to be 3betting AK pre). That last bit about Kx might not make that clear sense, I'm just trying to say if you assume he had KQ would he really be betting so big and like even maybe betting the turn at all.

      But in general I think it is best to call and reevaluate - with the intention of bet/folding any river (when flush comes he can't have it without betting and neither can he be potcontrolling 3x since nit doesnt have it in his range) or depending on his betsizing/timing call or folding. When he pots it I think we are safe to muck though.

      Hope it helps