[NL20-NL50] SH NL25, bluff oop

    • Gabinr1
      Gabinr1
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.04.2009 Posts: 7,755
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Full Tilt
      SB ($25)
      BB ($26.88)
      Hero ($30.86)
      UTG+1 ($30.70)
      CO ($25)
      BTN ($61.72)

      Dealt to Hero Q:diamond: J:diamond:

      Hero raises to $0.85, fold, CO calls $0.85, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($2.05) T:heart: 9:club: 3:diamond:

      Hero bets $1.25, CO raises to $3.75, Hero calls $2.50

      TURN ($9.55) T:heart: 9:club: 3:diamond: 7:heart:

      Hero checks, CO bets $7, Hero raises to $26.26 (AI), CO calls $13.40 (AI)

      RIVER ($50.35) T:heart: 9:club: 3:diamond: 7:heart: 6:club:

      CO shows T:club: A:club:
      (Pre 58%, Flop 50.4%, Turn 68.2%)

      Hero shows Q:diamond: J:diamond:
      (Pre 42%, Flop 49.6%, Turn 31.8%)

      CO wins $47.84


      How is my bluff?

      Villain is 19/16 in 40 hands, playing 10+ tables.


      I put villain on a weak range when he raises me on the flop (a weak ten, or something along those lines).

      Should I give up on the turn when he bets so much? When I go all in I give villain pot odds of 28%.


      I thought for a bit to 3bet the flop and I guess this would have been the better option -> 3bet to $10 and call a shove. Against the weak range that I assign villain I have at least 40% equity. (against AT alone I have ~50%, a flip) But when we add the 3bet fold equity we should turn a profit.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I´d only 3-bet flop that case if I think he is bluffing and if you put him on weak range then I think being oop 3-betting is better
      He would likely not b/f turn and you don´t get correct odds, so better is then c/f